The Statistical Truth Nonrandom Thoughts and Data 

by Matt Carlson

November 9, 2008
Postmortem

Comparisons: 2008 and 2004

  • The patterns (shapes of the lines) are generally the same as in 2004, but with the blue lines a bit higher and the red lines a bit lower.
  • The young turned out in large numbers for Obama, though not in significantly greater overall numbers than in 2004 (18 percent versus 17 percent.for 18 to 29 year olds).
  • Note the odd upward twist in favor of Obama at the upper end of the income distribution.
  • Catholics turned to the Democrats, probably reflective of the Hispanic Catholic vote.
  • Had it been left to whites, the catastrophe would have continued.
Other Postings
Where the Economy is and Where It's (Apparently) Going
Some Reality about Deficits

Armageddon: The Aftermath
The Hype

How to Explain It 
Is Health Care Reform Popular?
The Point of the Public Plan
The Context of Health Care Reform
Addendum
Is Low Life Expectancy the Fault of Our Health Care System?
What Americans Believe
American Health Care: Best in the World?
Is 76.5 Large?
NBC-WSJ Poll
Inside the Asylum
More About Bubbles
Why Did Economists Miss the Housing Bubble?
Why Has Monetary Policy Been so Ineffective?

The Geithner Plan
Is 22.2 Large?
Economics: A Theoretical Divide
The New Deal and the Great Depression
Stimulus By the Skin of Our Teeth
The Interregnum
Obama and McCain on Tax Cuts and Health Care
Religion and the New Atheism
Home



























Data from CNN exit polling: 2004; 2008